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So should we bury CO2? 06 June 05

Well, the general consensus seems to be a hefty thumbs down to nuclear power, and I have to say correspondents to this site have marshalled some very persuasive arguments – particularly on the issue of energy supply in the developing world. It has to be said that war with nuclear weapons comes a pretty close second to climate change in the global disaster league. It’s also true that if I’m wrong about wind having a theoretical 20% ceiling in the UK, as Martin Juckes suggests below (and it seems that this ceiling can indeed be raised with technical modifications to the grid – for more on the UK’s energy future see this report from the Council for Science and Technology), then the argument for new-build nuclear in this country to take up the slack gets weaker still. Apart from nuclear, the other great unsolved question seems to be that of CO2 sequestration underground. Like Greenpeace, I’m instinctively suspicious of this idea: unlike nuclear waste, CO2 doesn’t even have a half-life, so will have to be kept isolated from the biosphere for ever. However, Jon Gibbins from Imperial College emailed me to suggest that geological sequestration shouldn’t be ruled out so soon – a point also being raised on OpenDemocracy. My main concern is that CO2 could leak back into the atmosphere, killing anything nearby and boosting global warming at some unspecified date in the future. But according to Gibbins, CO2 will dissolve in groundwater or react chemically with rocks, keeping it locked up for tens of thousands of years. Indeed, some new coal plants in Canada are equipped with ‘capture-ready’ escape valves so they can be easily retrofitted for sequestration, according to the Christian Science Monitor. Is sequestration better or worse than nuclear power? Or should we rule them both out? I have to say, that having become considerably better informed about energy issues than I was two weeks ago when I wrote the infamous New Statesman article (thanks again to everyone who’s emailed me or posted here with links and further info), I’m appalled at the lack of ambition here in the UK as regards rewewables. As Peter Winters says, the offshore wind potential is off the scale – so why the slow progress?

Comments

William Ross

Sorry about that. The site has now recovered from being improved and everything should be working again. Please get back to disagreeing with Mark.

Tom Benson

Hello Mark,

Thanks for a site with good information about global warming. It’s a topic I’ve wanted to learn more about, and try to bypass the spin and hyperbole on all sides.

One comment: I think you backed away from your “I’m OK With Nuclear Power” stance too quickly. You may have received a flood of anti-nuke letters from others in the environmental movement, but I’d guess most of those are due to inertia, rather than careful thought.

Just for personal reasons, I’ve made a non-judgemental review of nuclear power and the environment in the past year, and my conclusion is that nuclear is nowhere near as bad as many people have convinced themselves. Many of the anti-nuclear arguments…including at least a few on your site…are just plain ridiculous.

For example, there is a fellow who estimates uranium resources would only last 50 years…totally ignoring the fact that new nuclear plant designs have already decreased their uranium usage (for the same level of power) compared to the older designs designs. Nuclear plants, to put it plainly, are getting more fuel-efficient. Why isn’t this fact highlighted? Because it’s inconvenient?

Or the article by Jan Willem Storm van Leeuwen, in OpenDemocracy, where he analyzes the carbon emissions produced by mining and refining uranium ore. The problem with argument is…what about the carbon emissions created by the manufacturers who are making the hundreds of square miles of solar panels, or the hundreds or gigantic wind towers, required to replace one nuclear plant? If nuclear opponents refuse to consider those emissions, then again, how can we take them seriously?

Finally in another article posted on OpenDemocracy ( Nuclear power- still “no thanks” by Michael Davies and Antony Froggatt:) they argue that it would take “too long” to build up to a size big enough to “make a difference”. This is a mind-bogglingly bad argument. It’s commonly known that wind and solar farms take anywhere from 50-100 times more steel, concrete, and land area than nuclear, and wind and solar are far, far smaller, as a percentage of our current energy mix, and therefore have much farther to go to provide solutions to carbon emission. So Davies and Froggatt’s argument, if we accept it, would say that wind and solar energy are a worse option than nuclear, and that wind and solar development is a huge waste of time. Is this really what we believe?

The worst failing, on the anti-nuclear side, is the unwillingness to look at technology improvements in nuclear, while simultaneously trumpeting technology improvements in renewables. For example, people keep talking about Chernobyl, a 50-year-old technology. Hey folks! It’s the year 2005, not 1955! Join the modern world! Engineers are already demonstrating nuclear designs that are 100X safer and produce 3X less waste, with even better to come in future decades. At this rate of improvement, at what point will the anti-nuke people be willing to accept nuclear? Perhaps never, if their objections are hysteria-based, not reason-based.

Anyway, I hope you’ll keep an open mind, and not succumb to peer pressure. Remember that in many crisis situations, the worse damage is caused not by the “enemy” but by friends who are in a state of panic. So for the global warming crisis, don’t be surprised if some of the worst advice comes from people you thought were allies.

Peter Winters

Thanks for the “pro-nuclear” point of view!

I am currently strongly “anti-nuclear”, largely because I do not think it is a global solution to Global Warming (point 1 below). But I also strongly believe we should try and remain open-minded. (I believe we need to avoid the trap of making a decision and then think of all the possible arguments to support it!)

So, I propose an exercise. We ought to make a list of all the argument for and against adopting nuclear. We should then assess each point for validity.

My list of “anti-nuclear” arguments are summarised as follows:

1. the dangers of nuclear as a global solution 2. dealing with radioactive waste 3. the risk of nuclear accidents 4. the high up-front investment costs 5. not a cost-effective solution 6. the time lag to implement 7. the vulnerability to terrorist/warlike activity 8. the likely intrusion of civil liberties to deal with terrorist/warlike threats 9. the availability of fuel (lack of substantial uranium supplies)

Could you (or anyone else) propose a list of arguments that is “pro-nuclear” or add to the “anti-nuclear” arguments? This could be a list similar to the one above, or more detailed arguments.

Once we have the arguments, for and against, we could then test each argument for validity. (Indeed, perhaps I have an idea to design a survey to test perceptions of the arguments!)

Perhaps Mark might then like to write an article on the results?!

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